On February 24, the Russian Federation generated an unprecedented crisis in Europe since World War II following the widespread barbaric and unprovoked invasion of Ukraine.

The Russian calculations were completely wrong and this was seen from the first days. The blitzkrieg failed, Ukraine not only resisted, but Russian aggression created an unprecedented emulation of the population around the Ukrainian defense forces.

If before the Russian aggression the opinions of the Ukrainians were divided on the European way of their country, the Ukrainians are today as united as possible in the face of the barbaric aggression of the Russian occupation forces.

After failing in the rapid change of regime by occupying Kiev, miscalculating the “support” that the population will give to Russian forces and underestimating in an amateur way the stubborn resistance of the Ukrainian defense forces and the help of the West, the Kremlin was put in the face of a war of attrition, trying to occupy eastern Ukraine, expand the territory of the so-called self-proclaimed republics of Donetsk and Lugansk and create a land corridor through the Donbas between the Russian Federation and the illegally annexed Crimea.

After more than 4 months of war, Russian forces have occupied a large part of southern Ukraine and are advancing dangerously far to the east, where they appear to have occupied Lugansuk. However, the costs are high and the control of the southern area is extremely fragile. Since the beginning of the invasion, the Russian Federation has lost so much military equipment that, according to experts, it takes 10 years to recover. Even a victory at Pirus is not yet in sight.

The Russians are no better off with ammunition either, which proves once again that the plan not only does not work as it was established on February 24, but also improvisation has huge costs. A legal framework is being prepared in the Russian Federation to mobilize the industry, which means indirect recognition of the acute shortage of weapons and ammunition, and President Vladimir Putin’s tour of Tajikistan and Turkmenistan aimed at gaining access to Soviet ammunition held by former USSR republics. . But the capacity and resources that Russia has at its disposal should not be underestimated. On the contrary. However, Moscow does not have the legal framework for a general mobilization, considering the invasion of Ukraine a “special operation” and not a war situation.

Where does Putin stop? In 2014 he gave clues about the imperialist dream – Novorusia

The paradox is that while fighting against the Ukrainian “nationalists”, Vladimir Putin’s regime has exactly the irredentist, chauvinistic and ultranationalist characteristics of fascist totalitarianism.

Acting as a demiurge, Vladimir Putin does not recognize Ukraine’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, launching a war of conquest in Europe for the first time since the end of World War II, but invents state-owned entities from the pen by recognizing so-called separatist republics on the territory of Ukraine.

In 2014, after the annexation of Crimea, during a speech on April 17, Vladimir Putin indirectly admitted imperialist intentions by occupying a large part of Ukraine, including Odessa.

“I would like to remind you, using the terminology of tsarist times, that this is Novorusia (New Russia): Kharkov, Lugansk, Donetsk, Kherson, Nikolaev and Odessa were not part of Ukraine in the tsarist era. They were all territories transferred to Ukraine by the Soviet government in the 1920s “- Vladimir Putin.

What followed such a broken discourse of the nineteenth century and incompatible with the democratic values ​​of the twenty-first century was a failed attempt at secession in 2014 in Odessa, destabilizing the Donbas and fueling the war by supporting pro-Russian militias, recognizing the two so-called republics. , and then a large-scale invasion. Russia has violated international law and all the treaties it had signed with Ukraine, recognizing its integrity.

This is the Budapest Memorandum (1994), signed by Ukraine, the United States, the United Kingdom and the Russian Federation, which speaks of Ukraine’s nuclear disarmament and guarantees the security of its independence and territorial integrity. Basically, through this treaty, Ukraine renounced the Soviet nuclear weapons on its territory that were transferred to the Russian Federation.

Moreover, in 1997, the Russian Federation and Ukraine signed a Treaty of Friendship and Bilateral Cooperation, which Moscow recognized the territorial integrity of Ukraine, including the illegally annexed Crimean Peninsula in 2014.

The plan to get Novorussia staged by the birth of entities that Moscow would later swallow failed in the first days after February 24, with Russia being put in an undesirable position to try to occupy the military regions as soon as possible on the basis of the so-called “operation special ”.

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This article is an opinion.

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