Russian forces made limited progress west of Severodonetsk on April 29, but remain blocked south of Yazumi. Ukrainian counterattacks around Kharkiv could also force Russian troops to redistribute units destined for the Izium axis to maintain these positions, according to a new assessment by the American Institute for War Analysis. The Kremlin’s false flag attacks in Transnistria are trying to force Moldova to abandon pro-European policies.

Convoy of Russian troopsPhoto: AFP / AFP / Profimedia

  • Russian troops are likely to deploy a minimum fighting force in Mariupol, as needed to block Ukrainian positions in Azovstal and prevent Ukrainian action, and to deploy as much combat power as possible to support offensive operations elsewhere.
  • Ukrainian forces have successfully slowed down Russian attacks in eastern Ukraine, which have secured only minor advances west of Severodonetsk and have not advanced on the Izium front in the past 24 hours.
  • Ukrainian counterattacks in Kharkiv are unlikely to develop into a major counter-offensive in the coming days, but could force Russia to redistribute forces aimed at the Izium axis in order to maintain its defensive positions around the city.
  • Ukrainian intelligence has continued to warn that Russian false-flag attacks in Transnistria are aimed at dragging Transnistria into war and forcing Moldova to abandon pro-European policies.

Russian forces in Mariupol are being redistributed

Russian forces continued to redeploy from Mariupol on April 29 to take part in offensive operations to the north, in support of Russia’s main effort to capture the entire Donetsk and Lugansk regions.

The Ukrainian General Staff said on April 29 that certain units in Mariupol were deployed to take part in offensive operations to Kurakhiv (about 50 km west of the city of Donetsk), and a senior Pentagon official reported that a “significant” number of units have been redistributed in the Zaporozhye region since April 20, although the American Institute cannot independently confirm these redistributions.

Russian troops are likely to deploy the minimum force needed in Mariupol to maintain Ukrainian positions in Azovstal and prevent Ukrainian action, and to deploy as much fighting power as possible to support offensive operations elsewhere.

Although Russian airstrikes continued to bomb the Azovstal plant on April 29, Russian forces did not carry out any major ground attacks.

Mariupol mayor’s adviser Petro Andrushchenko reported that Russian forces were tightening control of the city and stepping up an information campaign, claiming that they were taking steps to “improve life in Mariupol”, although they did not seem to be able to provide enough food for the city.

Andrushchenko also said that Russian forces are making an inventory of Mariupol residences to begin nationalizing Ukrainian property.

Russian forces probably intend both to consolidate control over Mariupol and to promote false Kremlin rhetoric about “liberation” rather than military occupation.

Capture of the entire Donetsk and Luhansk regions, territories claimed by separatists

Russian troops continued to bombard the entire front line in Donetsk and Luhansk and made several tactical advances on April 29.

Russian forces captured Yampil (directly west of Severodonetsk) on April 28 and were probably preparing to conduct new attacks east of Leman.

Pro-Russian sources posted pictures on social media with Russian forces using thermobaric ammunition against Ukrainian positions in Avdiivka, and Ukrainian head of the Donetsk Regional State Administration Serhiy Haidai claimed that Russian troops used phosphorus bombs in Ocheretyne on 29 April.

Haidai also said that Ukrainian forces had rejected an attempt to advance Russia on the villages of Orihove and Svitlichine on April 29.

The Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russia’s intensified fire against Ukrainian positions was intended to prevent Ukrainian troops from regrouping and that Ukrainian troops were conducting “active defense against the maneuver” as necessary, instead of conducting a strict positional defense.

The Russians want to advance southeast to support Russian operations in Luhansk

Ukrainian forces continued to repel Russian attacks southwest and south of Yazumi on April 29.

The head of the Kharkiv Regional State Administration, Oleg Synegubov, said that Russian forces were trying to advance towards Slaviansk and Barvinkove by attacking Brazhivka (25 km southwest of Izium), Dovhenke (25 km south of Izium) and Velyka Komyshuvakha (approx. 30 km southwest of Izium), but suffered losses and retreated on April 29.

Ukrainian forces continued limited counterattacks northeast of the city of Kharkiv and retook Ruska Lozova (10 km north of the city) on April 29, while Russian forces continued to maintain their position around the city of Kharkiv and shoot at settlements throughout the city. region.

Ukrainian counterattacks in Kharkiv are unlikely to develop into a major counter-offensive in the coming days, but could force Russia to redistribute forces aimed at the Izium axis in order to maintain its defensive positions around the city.

In fact, the Ukrainian National Guard released images on Saturday that appear to show attacks on a convoy of Russian armored vehicles near Izium.

Russian forces did not carry out any confirmed attacks in the Kherson region on April 29 and prioritized improving their tactical positions.

Russia would like to force Transnistria to allow additional troops into the territory

Ukrainian government officials have continued to warn that Russian forces are spreading pro-Kremlin misinformation in Transnistria and are preparing to use Transnistria as a “launching pad for aggression” against Ukraine and Moldova.

Ukraine’s Main Intelligence Directorate claimed that Russia’s previous attacks on Tiraspol, Percani and Maiac were aimed at forcing the Transnistrian leadership to allow additional deployment of Russian troops in Transnistria and threatening the Moldovan government to “abandon pro-European policies”.

“Canada, the United States, Israel and Germany in particular have urged citizens not to visit Transnistria because of the risk of escalation and armed conflict in the area.

The American War Institute cannot independently confirm the report of the Ukrainian Intelligence Directorate that the Russian false flag attempts are intended to persuade Transnistria to accept the Kremlin’s demands, which would indicate a lower degree of Kremlin control over its agent in Moldova than previously evaluated.

Read also:Russia faces considerable challenges, being forced to regroup its troops / Morale of some units weakened – UK

  • Watch the latest developments in the 66th day of the Ukrainian war LIVETEXT on HOTNEWS.RO

Source Link

close

Brasov-Romania News To Your Inbox!

We don’t spam! Read our privacy policy for more info.